Donovan Mitchell (SG/PG, Louisville)

 

Measurables: 6’3”, 6’10” wingspan, 211 lbs, 20.7 years old

Strengths

  • Solid 3 point shooter – 35.4% on 226 attempts
  • Rises into shot, quick release – 90th percentile when unguarded
  • FT is promising for stroke – 80.6%
  • Very solid advanced metrics – 4.8 DBPM, 11.6 BPM, .197 WS/40, 3.7 STL% (2nd in ACC)
  • Fluid athlete who can slice into lane
  • Shifty off-dribble game – great at creating space
  • Phenomenal body control/mobility on D – lockdown potential at 1 and 2
  • Uses explosiveness and size to make big plays on D
  • Fairly smart with the ball – 10.2 TOV%
  • Explosive finisher with extension – NBA upside
  • 0 AST% shows upside as playmaker
  • Good understanding of spacing in an offense
  • Extremely confident, not afraid to pull when D goes under
  • Great intangibles – hard working kid, well-spoken
  • Developing playmaking vision
  • Slithery into lane, good explosiveness as a cutter
  • Strong frame for combo guard prospect – weighs more than Jonathan Jeanne
  • Has phenomenal tools as on-ball defender – size, strength, length, athleticism
  • Takes pride in lockdown defense – plays aggressive full-court
  • Elite athletic testing at combine helped his stock
  • Will likely have more success in NBA offense – Louisville not really known for efficient offenses

Weaknesses

  • Barely cracked 40% from floor last year
  • Shot just 49% at rim
  • Subpar on 2 point shots outside rim – 35%
  • Needs to get rid of inefficient mid range shots
  • Gets into lane without a plan, needs to play with higher IQ
  • Doesn’t quite see his teammates in PnR
  • Had real problems finishing against length – needs load time
  • Very little finesse in lane – 26% on floaters
  • Shies from contact at times – 4.0 FTA/40
  • Pretty inconsistent – 10 games with less than 10 points, 9 games with 20+
  • Wild variation in terms of play month to month
  • A little too handsy at times – 11 games with 4+ fouls
  • 3 point shot was very streaky throughout year
  • Questionable shot selection – not always within offense
  • Poor height for shooting guard even with great length
  • Caught ball watching on D at times – help IQ needs work
  • Needs to work on balancing on and off ball responsibilities on D
  • Success as a whole will hinge on jumper

Overall

  • Besides his underwhelming height, Mitchell has a phenomenal set of tools for playing shooting guard in today’s NBA. An explosive athlete with an improving stroke, Mitchell has shown flashes of elite 3 and D ability as an NBA role player. However, his poor finishing ability, questionable shot selection, and streaky jumper are all causes for concern. If his jumper is not falling on offense, he will be pretty easy to neutralize thanks to below average finishing ability and still-developing playmaking skills. Luckily for Mitchell, his frame and athleticism mean he will always provide value as an on-ball defender, even as his off-ball focus and IQ continue to improve. If he can get his jumper nailed down and improve his finishing ability, Mitchell could be a scary player in the NBA.

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