Definitely Don't Follow My Picks: Week 8

The Browns could win this week, or at least cover the line.

Well, two weeks in a row where you lost money on my picks. Good news is I’m living up to my name, the bad news is some poor sucker out there followed my picks and lost… again. I’ve said it every week, just don’t follow me. Actually, do yourselves a favor and don’t even finish reading this. Skip right over the picks, I mean seriously don’t even read them. Or I guess you can just don’t put any money on them.
Well, here we go another wonderful week of horrible picks. Don’t put your gas money on these, don’t skimp on your grocery bills to bet on these, I wouldn’t even bet your spare change.

Record 16-19-0 (Last Week 5-8)

Miami Dolphins(+3) at Baltimore Ravens – Thursday 8:25 ET
I made it known last week that I am in fact a Dolphins fan. I love Matt Moore and think he is not only better than Cutler but is not too bad of a drop off from Tannehill. The Dolphins offense looked like an actual offense again, and their defense has been pretty solid all season. The only big issue is year after year the Ravens have Miami’s number. But I’m going to be hopeful and roll with the Matt Moore magic.
My pick: Dolphins

Minnesota Vikings(-9.5) at Cleveland Browns – Sunday 9:30 ET Another London game everyone! These games are always so weird. There’s blowouts, there’s just plain awful football, you never know what you’ll get. Cleveland has a pretty solid run defense, and the Vikings get to go against Kizer so I don’t think either team is going to be a juggernaut on offense. I’m expecting a low scoring game and the Browns to cover.

My pick: Browns

Los Angeles Chargers(+7.5) at New England Patriots – Sunday 1:00 ET
I’m not sure if Atlanta is just bad or if the Pats defense just got better. I’ll go with a little bit of both I think. The Chargers offense has so many weapons it makes me really tempted to take them here. Between Keenan Allen, Melvin Gordon, Hunter Henry, and the rest of that offense I feel like they can put up some big points, right?
My Pick: Chargers

Chicago Bears(+9) at New Orleans Saints – Sunday 1:00 ET The Bears have been such an interesting team to watch this year. Are they bad? Are they good? Who knows! They’re committed to the run and that makes their offense go, but I don’t think they’ll be able to run the ball nearly enough when Brees and the Saints start scoring big. We’ll get to see the first test of Trubisky throwing more than a handful of passes, and I’m not sure if he steps up in this one.

My Pick: Saints

Carolina Panthers(+2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Sunday 1:00 ET I feel like I’ve said it a few times now, but Cam is just not what he once was. I don’t think he’s ever going to get back to that MVP form we once saw. He’ll have a few good performances, but it seems like more bad ones come his way. Winston, on the other hand, has been much of the same with mostly down games. I think I’ll take the Panthers to bounce back.

My Pick: Panthers

Indianapolis Colts(+10.5) at Cincinnati Bengals – Sunday 1:00 ET Ok, the Colts are bad, but 10.5 bad? In this season of NFL football? I don’t feel safe taking any teams with that big of a spread so on that alone I’m going with the Colts.

My Pick: Colts

Oakland Raiders(+2.5) at Buffalo Bills – Sunday 1:00 ET
This is quite the interesting matchup. The Raiders seemed pretty lost and had a great bounce-back taking down the Chiefs, who I thought were the Super Bowl favorites. The Bills have been pretty solid and had a great win against Tampa Bay last week. I think the Raiders not having Marshawn Lynch could actually be a bit of an advantage for them this week, as he’s been a bit of a plodder this year. The only thing I know for certain about this game is the Bills mafia is sending someone through a burning table.
My Pick: Raiders

San Francisco 49ers(+13) at Philadelphia Eagles – Sunday 1:00 ET I said it earlier and I’ll say it again, you can’t take any favorite with a spread this big in today’s NFL. The Eagles will win for a fact, but I don’t know if I can trust the 13 point spread.

My Pick: 49ers

Atlanta Falcons(-4) at New York Jets – Sunday 1:00 ET The Falcons are feeling that Super Bowl hangover for sure. But I have faith that they still win the division and I think at the halfway point in the season this is where they turn it around. I’ll take the Falcons in this one, and I think the Jets come crashing back down to Earth this week.

My Pick: Falcons

Houston Texans(+5.5) at Seattle Seahawks – Sunday 4:05 ET
This might be Deshaun Watson’s biggest test yet. He has been an absolute stud so far, but this week he gets to go against the Legion of Boom. He gets a little help though with that 5.5 points, and I don’t think Seattle’s offense is good enough to win by that much. Could be a sneaky money line play with the Texans in this one.
My Pick: Texans

Dallas Cowboys(-2) at Washington Redskins – Sunday 4:25 ET Good old rivalry game for Sunday afternoon football. I’m expecting a very close game here and really don’t know who to pick in this one. In fact, I’m going to figure out as I’m writing this very sentence. It’s a coin flip but I’m taking Dallas.

My Pick: Cowboys

Pittsburgh Steelers(-2.5) at Detroit Lions – Sunday 8:30 ET
Super interesting matchup here. The Steelers look like they might have hit the midseason stride where they just look unbeatable. The Lions have all the pressure in the world with Aaron Rodgers out for the year. The Lions have a very good chance to win that division spot, and this week we’ll be a good indication if they’re for real. I just don’t know if they can get it done so the Steelers look like a good bet to me.
My Pick: Steelers

Denver Broncos(+7.5) at Kansas City Chiefs – Monday 8:30 ET Two weeks ago I would have said the Chiefs were winning the super bowl. Now they’ve lost two in a row and haven’t looked like world beaters. However, they’re going against the Broncos who couldn’t even score a point last week. It’s safe to say the Siemian experiment has failed and I think he has a rough time in KC.

My Pick: Chiefs

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