Definitely Don't Follow My Picks: Week 11 Picks

We like the Titans in tonight’s matchup.

Record 35-35-1 (Last Week 6-5)

Another week just a smidge above .500, and now we’re exactly .500 on the year. A whole bunch of blowouts this past week, which makes my “never take that big of a spread” motto look foolish. This week is the last week teams are on bye, and we’re going to start to see a legitimate playoff picture forming. Some teams will just give up, some will push harder, and all I know is this is going to start getting even more interesting. As always, don’t follow my picks, they’re not good. Enjoy!

Tennessee Titans(+7) at Pittsburgh Steelers – Thursday 8:25 ET The Steelers have a quick turnaround on Thursday after almost losing to the Colts this past week. Seven points just seem like a lot against a team that is pushing for a playoff spot. I don’t think the Steelers offense is good enough to cover, so I’ll take the Titans.

My Pick: Titans

Jacksonville Jaguars(-7.5) at Cleveland Browns – Sunday 1:00 ET Another interesting spread in this one. The Browns have consistently been getting 10+ points, but they’re only getting 7.5 against the best defense in the NFL. I think this is one of the easier ones to pick, and I’m going Jacksonville. However, don’t expect Fournette to have a great game as Cleveland’s run defense has actually been pretty decent.

My Pick: Jaguars

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins – Sunday 1:00 ET
No Spread in this one, even though Fitzmagic has already been declared a starter for the game. Both teams have been so bad, but on the bright side I’ll actually be at this game in Miami, so I’ll be bringing that “don’t follow my picks” magic to South Beach. Expect the Buccaneers to win for that reason alone.

Baltimore Ravens(-2) at Green Bay Packers – Sunday 1:00 ET 
The Packers offense is banged up pretty bad. Between Aaron Jones, Ty Montgomery, Brett Hundley, and the offensive line, I think the Ravens defense will feast in this one. Also, Danny Woodhead is set to return, and I think he could be a spark in this otherwise abysmal offense.
My Pick: Ravens

Detroit Lions(-3) at Chicago Bears – Sunday 1:00 ET All these road teams look so juicy this week. Chicago has had a good defense, I’ll give them credit, but the offense is nothing if they can’t get rushing yards. Like I said at the beginning of this article, this is going to be a turning point where teams start to make a real push for the playoffs, and Detroit is definitely one of them.

My Pick: Lions

Los Angeles Rams(+2.5) at Minnesota Vikings – Sunday 1:00 ET Definitely one of the best games of the week. Both of these teams are most likely playoff bound, and this might not be the only time they face each other this season. Keenum has been playing well, but I think he’ll probably come back down to Earth a little bit this week. On the other hand, Goff should come back down to Earth a bit as well. The line is close and this should be a great game, but I’ll take the home field advantage here.

My Pick: Vikings

Arizona Cardinals(-1.5) at Houston Texans – Sunday 1:00 ET Gross game, gross team’s, gross everything. Neither of these teams is doing anything of significance this year but I’ll take the Cardinals… I guess.

My Pick: Cardinals

Kansas City Chiefs(-10.5) at New York Giants – Sunday 1:00 ET Big line, but I don’t care. The Giants have quit on McAdoo. He’s certainly out the door, and the team knows it. I mean some of the guys on this Giants squad look like they’re just going through the motions. The Chiefs, on the other hand, are pushing for the playoffs and are rested after a bye. This one should be a bloodbath.

My Pick: Chiefs

Washington Redskins(+7.5) at New Orleans Saints – Sunday 1:00 ET The Saints are a ground and pound beast of a team that looks nothing like the Saints of old. It seems like the Saints are legit super bowl contenders, and the Redskins are on the outside looking in when it comes to the playoffs. However, 7.5 seems pretty big in this one so I’ll take the Redskins to cover the spread.

My Pick: Redskins

Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Chargers – Sunday 4:05 ET
Not seeing any spread in this one, as Rivers is in the concussion protocol. If he’s out the Bills take this one for sure. Otherwise, I’m not entirely sure. I don’t think either of these teams are making the playoffs either way.

Cincinnati Bengals(+2.5) at Denver Broncos – Sunday 4:25 ET Broncos are favorites?! Home field advantage or not the Broncos are packing it up. Their defense is just not the same, and I think it’s another case of a team giving up. That doesn’t mean that the Bengals are any good either, but at least they’re doing something.

My Pick: Bengals

New England Patriots(-6.5) at Oakland Raiders – Sunday 4:25 ET This is almost as tough to pick as the Vikings line. I fully expect the Patriots to win, but this Raiders team off a bye, and looking to make it into the playoffs seems like they have just enough to make it close. I’m taking the Raiders to cover, but I don’t feel good about it.

My Pick: Raiders

Philadelphia Eagles(-3) at Dallas Cowboys – Sunday 8:30 ET
Now I usually would say don’t follow my picks, BUT this line is way too juicy. The Eagles are the best team in the league, and they’re going against the Cowboys without Ezekiel Elliott, most likely without Tyron Smith, and most likely without Sean Lee. I understand that they’re at home, but they’re too banged up and I think the Eagles roll.
My Pick: Eagles

Atlanta Falcons(+3) at Seattle Seahawks – Monday 8:30 ET Two teams doing everything they can to make the playoffs. Atlanta seems like they’re having a bit of a resurgence, while Seattle seems to be doing the opposite. I think the Seahawks can get back on track at home and win this game.

My Pick: Seahawks

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