Definitely Don't Follow My Picks: Week 7 Picks

The Chiefs should get back on track against a struggling Raiders team.

I have to say, I felt like I was going to absolutely get destroyed this week on picks but somehow managed to go 4-6 and bring my total record to .500. The games I felt really good about(Looking at you Denver, KC, and Atlanta) totally flopped, and other toss-up games worked out fine. Quite an odd week of football indeed.

So if you followed me the first week I made picks, you made some money. If you followed me this past week, you lost a little bit. But let me tell you with almost 100% certainty if you follow me this week, you’re going to lose big. I can just feel it. Take every pick I make and go with the opposite and you’ll be taking your significant other on a hot date with your huge winnings. Don’t believe me? Go ahead and follow my picks this week and you’ll be lucky to afford the Dollar Menu.
These are my picks this week.

Record 11-11-0 (Last Week 4-6)

Kansas City Chiefs(-2.5) at Oakland Raiders – Thursday 8:25 ET
Well, the Chiefs finally take their first loss of the season, and Alex Smith came back down to Earth. However, I don’t think this becomes a trend whatsoever. Kareem Hunt got a huge bulk of his yards in the passing game and he has no trouble getting those rushing yards back this week against the Raiders.
My pick: Chiefs

Baltimore Ravens(+5.5) at Minnesota Vikings – Sunday 1:00 ET Two teams that just really don’t impress me. The Ravens D is either ferocious or garbage. I think both defenses show up in this one and we see a very low scoring game. In that case, I’m taking the Ravens with points.

My pick: Ravens

New York Jets(+3.5) at Miami Dolphins – Sunday 1:00 ET The Jets and Dolphins are so polarizing this year. Are they good, bad? Who knows. The Jets won the first meet so I’ll take the Dolphins at home here.

My pick: Dolphins

New Orleans Saints(-6) at Green Bay Packers – Sunday 1:00 ET The Rodgers-less Packers against a Saints offense that just scored 50 points? Yeah, I’ll be taking the Saints in this one.

My pick: Saints

Carolina Panthers(-3.5) at Chicago Bears – Sunday 1:00 ET I smell a trap game here for sure. The Bears are not nearly as bad as some think. Trubisky hasn’t been anything special, but the run game has been doing great for them and I think they could actually pull out a win here at home.

My pick: Bears

Arizona Cardinals(+3.5) at Los Angeles Rams – Sunday 1:00 ET
Watching Adrian Peterson go off just like the old days was really quite a sight last week. The Rams have been pretty good so far, but I think we’re in for another vintage AP game. Plus the Cardinals defense should do pretty well shutting down Goff, so I think I’ll take the Cards with points here.
My pick: Cardinals

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills – Sunday 1:00 ET
No line out because of the Winston injury. My guess is, either way, the Bills probably take this one. They’re at home and are coming off a bye. Look for McCoy to have a big game here.

Jacksonville Jaguars(-3) at Indianapolis Colts – Sunday 1:00 ET
This line is a little odd to me. The Jaguars have been very hit or miss, but the Colts still do not have Luck. I have no confidence that Jacoby Brissett will be the one to break through the Jags secondary, and Fournette is going to keep rolling in this one.
My pick: Jaguars

Dallas Cowboys(-4.5) at San Francisco 49ers – Sunday 4:05 ET The Zeke drama continues! I’m just going to keep assuming that Elliot can play every week until he doesn’t. San Francisco is not a good team and I think Dallas might make a statement in this one.

My pick: Cowboys

Cincinnati Bengals(+5) at Pittsburgh Steelers – Sunday 4:25 ET So much parity this year. After the Steelers get trounced by the Jaguars, they come back and beat the undefeated Chiefs. So this game is going to come down to which version of the Steelers we’ll get. With that being said, I think I’ll take the Bengals to cover this one.

My pick: Bengals

Denver Broncos(+2) at Los Angeles Chargers – Sunday 4:25 ET The bookies are looking way too much into last week with this line. Los Angeles is not a good team this year, they just aren’t. They are at home, but let’s be honest, LA is not home. I think the Broncos defense shows us why they’re the best in the league this week, so expect some defensive scores.

My pick: Broncos

Seattle Seahawks(-5.5) at New York Giants – Sunday 4:25 ET Yay! New York won a game! Too bad that isn’t going to happen again this week. The Giants still have garbage men for receivers, they still have garbage men for an offensive line, and they have garbage men for a coaching staff. They got lucky against the Broncos last week, and I’ll take the Seahawks by two scores in this one.

My pick: Seahawks

Atlanta Falcons(+3) at New England Patriots – Sunday 8:30 ET The ol’ Super Bowl rematch. Except, this time around neither team really looks like they want to go back to the game this year. The Patriots defense is still really bad, and the Falcons just don’t look like playoff contenders. The Patriots haven’t been covering the spreads through these past few weeks, so I’ll go with the Falcons here.

My pick: Falcons

Washington Redskins(+4.5) at Philadelphia Eagles – Monday 8:30 ET I’m actually really excited for this game, it feels like probably the most evenly matched Monday night game so far. Cousins is starting to get on a roll, and Wentz is looking like a franchise quarterback. Offensively these teams are pretty well matched, defensively as well. I’ll throw a curveball and pick the Redskins here though just because the 6-1 Eagles doesn’t sound right to me.

My pick: Redskins

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