Thursday Night Football odds, prediction, spread: Commanders vs. Eagles picks by NFL expert on 33-15 run

A high-stakes NFC East battle is set for Thursday Night Football as the Philadelphia Eagles (7-2) host the Washington Commanders (7-3) at Lincoln Financial Field. The Eagles are riding a five-game winning streak, most recently dominating the Dallas Cowboys 34-6. In contrast, Washington’s three-game win streak came to an end last week with a narrow 28-27 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Eagles are favored by 4 points, according to the latest odds from the SportsLine Consensus, with an over/under of 49.5 total points. Philadelphia is listed as a -216 moneyline favorite (bet $216 to win $100), while Washington stands at +179 underdogs (bet $100 to win $179). Before making your bets, take a closer look at NFL predictions and insights from expert Larry Hartstein, known for his expertise on Washington games.

Hartstein, a former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, brings a sharp analytical edge honed through his time at Pro Football Focus. He was a top performer in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, finishing 52nd out of 1,598 entries with a 53-34-3 record against the spread. His picks have proven profitable, with a 79-48-2 (62.2%, +25.95 units) record in his NFL best bets column since 2022, and a remarkable 33-15-1 (+1626) on his recent Commanders-related picks.

Now, Hartstein has revealed his picks and predictions for this Thursday night showdown. To see his expert analysis and the pick, head to SportsLine. Below are the key odds for the Commanders vs. Eagles game:

  • Commanders vs. Eagles spread: Philadelphia -4
  • Commanders vs. Eagles over/under: 49.5 points
  • Commanders vs. Eagles money line: Philadelphia -216, Washington +179
  • Washington ATS record: 7-2 this season
  • Philadelphia ATS record: 5-4 this season
  • For full picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Eagles Can Cover

The Eagles come into this game with the league’s sixth-best total offense (373.9 yards per game) and scoring offense (25.9 points per game), with their rushing attack ranking second (176.1 yards per game). Running back Saquon Barkley has been a key contributor, ranking second in the NFL with 171 carries, 991 rushing yards, and six rushing touchdowns. Barkley has topped 100 rushing yards in four of his last five games, and his ability as both a rusher and a receiver adds a dynamic element to the offense.

Quarterback Jalen Hurts has been the driving force for Philadelphia, with 1,976 passing yards, 378 rushing yards, and 22 total touchdowns, including eight rushing touchdowns over the last four games.

Why the Commanders Can Cover

Washington ranks fourth in total offense (377 yards per game), third in scoring offense (29.0 points per game), and fifth in rushing offense (153.5 yards per game). Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has impressed with a strong arm and quick release, ranking 11th in passing yards (2,147) and completing 68% of his passes. He’s also added 464 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Daniels has passed for at least 200 yards and rushed for 25 yards in six games this season.

Receiver Terry McLaurin remains one of the NFL’s top playmakers. He ranks third in receiving yards (711) and is tied for fourth in receiving touchdowns (6). McLaurin has posted 100+ receiving yards in four games this season and could be a key factor for Washington’s offense.

How to Make Commanders vs. Eagles Picks

Hartstein has broken down this matchup from every angle, and while he’s leaning towards the Under, he’s uncovered a pivotal X-factor that has him backing one side of the spread. To find out which team he’s backing and discover his full predictions, head over to SportsLine now.

Who will come out on top in this NFC East rivalry? Visit SportsLine to see which team Hartstein is betting on, based on his impressive 33-15 run on Commanders-related NFL picks.